Tuesday, 6 December 2011

Final Four Preview: Villanova vs UNC

Villanova is back in the final four for the first time since 1985 (when they won it all), and just like last time, they are significant underdogs to win it all. UNC has unfinished business, this group of Tar Heels has never won the title, and many of them passed up on the NBA to return at a shot at the title. UNC has breezed by all of its opponents so far, winning every game by double digits, and averaging 88.75 points a game. Ty Lawson has been the motor, as he has been all season, but he has been particularly outstanding in the tournament. Lawson's 15-1 assist to turnover ratio is insane, but might be more insane is that he is shooting 71.4 percent from three in the tournament. Ellington, Lawson and Hansbrough are all averaging over twenty points a game and UNC looks poised to take the title. Villanova is the lowest seeded team in the Final Four (3 seed), but is only a 7 1/2 point under dog to UNC. Scottie Reynolds is key for Villanova, when he plays well they play well. Reynolds of course hit the game winner against Pitt has averaged just 12.5 points a game in the tournament, but has deep range on his jumper and is capable of breaking out for huge scoring outputs (he scored 40 against UCONN as a freshman). Villanova relies on a small scrappy line-up to out hustle opponents. This small line-up can provide match-up problems for some bigger teams, but also leaves the Wildcats vulnerable on the glass. Villanova winning really would be a shocking upset, UNC is just better at everything the Wildcats to well.

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